{"product_id":"demographic-forecasting-9780691130958","title":"Demographic Forecasting","description":"\u003cp\u003e • Author(s): Federico Girosi\u003cbr\u003e • Publisher: Princeton University Press\u003cbr\u003e • Publisher Imprint: Princeton University Press\u003cbr\u003e • BISAC: Demography\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eFrom the Back Cover\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\"A substantial contribution in terms of ideas and methods. This book introduces a new methodology for forecasting mortality that takes into account important predictors, formalizes the use of prior knowledge such as expert opinion, and produces estimates of forecasting uncertainty, using a Bayesian statistical framework. It also provides convincing evidence that the new methods can outperform some of the best alternatives available. The techniques have wide applicability.\"\u003cb\u003e--Germán Rodríguez, Princeton University\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\"This book is excellent and important.\"\u003cb\u003e--Ronald Lee, University of California, Berkeley\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"Princeton University Press","offers":[{"title":"Paperback","offer_id":45268539048087,"sku":"9780691130958","price":3367.0,"currency_code":"INR","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0666\/3471\/1191\/files\/9780691130958.webp?v=1769236064","url":"https:\/\/atlanticbooks.com\/products\/demographic-forecasting-9780691130958","provider":"Atlantic Books","version":"1.0","type":"link"}