Die Auswirkungen von Haushaltsdefiziten auf den Wechselkurs

Name: Die Auswirkungen von Haushaltsdefiziten auf den Wechselkurs
Brand: Verlag Unser Wissen
SKU: 9786209961915
Price: 5314.0 INR
Availability: InStock

by Tijan L. Bah

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ISBN13: 9786209961915
Binding: Paperback
Subject: N/A
Publisher: Verlag Unser Wissen
Publisher Imprint: Verlag Unser Wissen
Publication Date: May 14, 2026
Pages: 56
Original Price: GBP 42.0
Language: German
Edition: N/A
Item Weight: 87 grams
BISAC Subject(s): General

About The Book

Ziel dieser Arbeit ist es, die Auswirkungen staatlicher Haushaltsdefizite auf den Wechselkurs in Gambia anhand von viertelj�hrlichen Daten vom ersten Quartal 1990 bis zum zweiten Quartal 2008 zu untersuchen. Dazu wird ein VAR-Modell mit f�nf Variablen verwendet, das den Wechselkurs, den Zinssatz f�r Schatzwechsel, das Bruttoinlandsprodukt (BIP), den Verbraucherpreisindex (VPI) und die Haushaltsdefizite umfasst. Unter Verwendung des Johansen-Kointegrationsrahmens wurde festgestellt, dass zwischen diesen Variablen eine langfristige Beziehung besteht. Der Granger-Kausalit�tstest best�tigt, dass zwischen den Haushaltsdefiziten und dem Wechselkurs eine bidirektionale Kausalit�t besteht. Mithilfe der Impulsantwortfunktion (IRF) und der Varianzzerlegung des Prognosefehlers (FEVD) wurden die Auswirkungen von Haushaltsdefiziten auf den Dalasi untersucht. Das Ergebnis der IRF zeigt, dass ein Schock bei den Haushaltsdefiziten um ein Prozent den Dalasi im ersten bzw. zweiten Quartal um f�nf Prozent bzw. dreiundzwanzig Prozent abwertet. Die FEVD verdeutlicht zudem, dass Schwankungen des Wechselkurses in hohem Ma e auf einen Anstieg der Haushaltsdefizite zur�ckzuf�hren sind. Die Prognosen dieser Arbeit mahnen politische Entscheidungstr�ger zur Besonnenheit bei der Festlegung ihrer Ausgaben, da dies einen nachhaltigen Einfluss auf den Dalasi hat.

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