O Impacto dos Déficits Orçamentais na Taxa de Câmbio

Name: O Impacto dos Déficits Orçamentais na Taxa de Câmbio
Brand: Edicoes Nosso Conhecimento
SKU: 9786209972157
Price: 5314.0 INR
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ISBN13: 9786209972157
Binding: Paperback
Subject: N/A
Publisher: Edicoes Nosso Conhecimento
Publisher Imprint: Edicoes Nosso Conhecimento
Publication Date: May 14, 2026
Pages: 52
Original Price: GBP 42.0
Language: Portuguese
Edition: N/A
Item Weight: 82 grams
BISAC Subject(s): General

About The Book

O objetivo deste artigo � determinar o efeito dos d�ficits or�amentais do governo na taxa de c�mbio na G�mbia, utilizando um conjunto de dados trimestrais que abrange o primeiro trimestre de 1990 at� ao segundo trimestre de 2008. � utilizado um modelo VAR de cinco vari�veis, que inclui a taxa de c�mbio, a taxa das letras do Tesouro, o produto interno bruto (PIB), o �ndice de pre�os no consumidor (IPC) e os d�ficits or�amentais. Utilizando o quadro de cointegra��o de Johansen, verificou-se que existe uma rela��o de longo prazo entre estas vari�veis. O teste de causalidade de Granger afirma que existe uma causalidade bidirecional entre os d�fices or�amentais e a taxa de c�mbio. Utilizando a fun��o de resposta ao impulso (IRF) e a decomposi��o da vari�ncia do erro de previs�o (FEVD), foi analisado o impacto dos d�fices or�amentais sobre o dalasi. O resultado da IRF mostra que um choque nos d�fices or�amentais de um por cento deprecia o dalasi em cinco por cento e vinte e tr�s por cento no primeiro e segundo trimestres, respetivamente. A FEVD tamb�m ilustra que a varia��o na taxa de c�mbio se deve, em grande parte, ao aumento dos d�fices or�amentais. As previs�es deste artigo apelam aos decisores pol�ticos para que sejam conscientes na determina��o das suas despesas, uma vez que estas t�m um efeito duradouro sobre o dalasi.

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O Impacto dos Déficits Orçamentais na Taxa de Câmbio

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