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Prognosen Bewerten: Statistische Grundlagen Und Praktische Tipps by Michael Feindt, Ulrich Kerzel

Prognosen Bewerten: Statistische Grundlagen Und Praktische Tipps

by Michael Feindt , Ulrich Kerzel
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Book cover type: Paperback
  • ISBN13: 9783662446829
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Subject: N/A
  • Publisher: Springer Gabler
  • Publisher Imprint: Springer Gabler
  • Publication Date:
  • Pages: 86
  • Original Price: USD 37.99
  • Language: German
  • Edition: 2015
  • Item Weight: 141 grams
  • BISAC Subject(s): Business Mathematics

Genaue Prognosen bilden die Basis für eine Vielzahl von wirtschaftlichen Entscheidungen und Geschäftsprozessen. In diesem Buch werden die Grundlagen der Erstellung und quantitativen Bewertung von Prognosen erarbeitet. Besonderes Augenmerk wird auf die korrekte statistische Behandlung sowie die Interpretation der Prognose als Wahrscheinlichkeitsverteilung gelegt. Zahlreiche Beispiele aus konkreten Fragestellungen zeigen den Bezug der jeweils erörterten Problemstellungen zur Praxis auf. Darüber hinaus werden viele sich ergänzende Methoden vorgestellt, wie Prognosen in der Praxis bewertet und ihre Vorhersagekraft getestet werden kann.
Das Buch richtet sich vor allem an Praktiker, die im betrieblichen Alltag Prognosen verwenden und datengetrieben automatisierte Entscheidungen treffen.

Prof. Dr. Michael Feindt ist Der Kopf hinter Blue Yonder. Erfinder der Software NeuroBayes. Dozent an der Academy. Professor am Karlsruher Institut für Technologie.Im Jahr 2000 hat der Physiker und Predictive-Analytics-Spezialist den inzwischen mehrfach ausgezeichneten NeuroBayes-Algorithmus erfunden. Ziel war, ein Werkzeug für exakte Prognosen zu schaffen - sowohl für die wissenschaftliche Forschung als auch für unterschiedliche Wirtschaftszweige und Fragestellungen in Unternehmen. Im Jahr 2008 gründete Prof. Dr. Michael Feindt die Firma Blue Yonder, um Unternehmen in der Nutzung und Auswertung Ihrer Daten zu unterstützen. Blue Yonder liefert Prognosen und Datenmuster zu unterschiedlichen Fragestellungen wie beispielsweise Absatzprognosen, Kündigungswahrscheinlichkeiten und Dynamische Preisgestaltung.

Dr. Ulrich Kerzel ist Leiter der Academy, Senior Data Scientist bei Blue Yonder und renommierter Wissenschaftler mit Forschungserfahrung an der University of Cambridge und am CERN. Ulrich Kerzel hat bei Prof. Dr. Feindt am amerikanischen Fermi National Laboratory promoviert und hat in dieser Zeit wesentlich zur NeuroBayes-Kerntechnologie beigetragen.
Nach der Promotion wechselte er zur University of Cambridge, wo er als Senior Research Fellow am renommierten Magdalene College tätig war. Seine Forschungstätigkeit beschäftigte sich mit komplizierten statistischen Analysen, um den Ursprung von Materie und Antimaterie mit Daten des LHCb-Experiments am Large Hadron Collider des CERN, dem weltgrößten Forschungsinstitut für Teilchenphysik, zu verstehen. Diese Tätigkeit setzte er als Research Fellow am CERN fort, bevor er als Senior Data Scientist zu Blue Yonder kam.

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