The Mystery Of Market Movements: An Archetypal Approach to Investment Forecasting and Modelling
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Underlying the rise and collapse of the housing bubble, the dot.com upsurge and crash, and the worldwide economic climb and breakdown, are irrational impulses-from mania to panic-that play a major role in collective human investment behaviour.
The Mystery of Market Movements attempts to answer the key questions of when and why financial bubbles are likely to form by exploring the collective unconscious and its archetypes. Armed with an understanding of how archetypes drive the financial markets, investors will be able to better identify irrational behaviours and the hidden investment opportunities they create.
As financial expert Niklas Hageback explains, financial markets, with their extensive output and frequent updates of real-time data, provide fertile ground for statistical testing of the archetype hypothesis. By building a record of the appearance of archetypal symbols and analysing the frequency of their appearance versus financial indexes, it is possible to predict price trends over time.
The Mystery of Market Movements includes an empirically verified measurement methodology that is designed to capture the subliminal forces that influence human behaviour and investment decisions, in particular, and clearly demonstrates how archetypes can give rise to financial bubbles.
In clear and understandable terms, Niklas Hageback outlines the archetypal conceptual measurement methodology model and offers insight on the statistical methods used to develop and test archetypal symbol time series. He discusses the model's foundational building blocks and explores the components that constitute the measurement units. He also reveals the data sources and includes samples of how the symbol selection is conducted.
The Mystery of Market Movements is a practical guide to understanding archetypal influences. The website offers access to continuously updated indexes that will give investors the ability to track changes in archetypal mood patterns and boost their ability to make wise investment decisions.
NIKLAS HAGEBACK has extensive experience in the financial sector working at tier-one financial institutions and consulting firms, such as Deutsche Bank, KPMG, and Goldman Sachs, holding regional risk management and oversight roles in both Europe and Asia. This included leading the implementation of operational risk and economic capital frameworks and also engaging in the public debate through a number of articles published, public presentations and regulatory lobbying.
He currently resides in Hong Kong where he is running a money management firm as well as managing a portfolio of financial software start-up firms with a special focus on research and product development in the area of behavioural finance.
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