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A Comparison of Advect Cloud Model and Fifth-Generation Mesoscale Model Total Fractional Cloud Forecasts
Brian D. Pukall
Paperback
• Author(s): Brian D. Pukall • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralTotal fractional cloudiness (FC) forecasts from the advect cloud (ADVCLD) model and total FC forecasts diagnosed from the relative humidity...
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Development of Predictors for Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Activity Using Atmospheric Stability Indices
Development of Predictors for Cloud-to-Ground Lightning Activity Using Atmospheric Stability Indices
Kenneth C. Venzke
Paperback
• Author(s): Kenneth C. Venzke • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralA detailed examination was performed on several commonly applied atmospheric stability indices and lightning activity from 1993 to 2000 t...
View full detailsValidation of the Ionospheric Forecast Model Version 3
Michael D. Scott
Paperback
• Author(s): Michael D. Scott • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralThe purpose of this research was to validate the Ionospheric Forecast Model (IFM) Version 3 to assess its suitability and usefulness as an...
View full detailsForecasting USAF JP-8 Fuel Needs
Ömer Sağlam
Paperback
• Author(s): Ömer Sağlam • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralIn this study, we forecast the USAF's JP-8 consumption and costs for the next five year period. The study shows that JP-8 consumption figures w...
View full detailsGenerating Bomber Routes for the Delivery of Gravity Weapons
Gregory J. Ehlers
Paperback
• Author(s): Gregory J. Ehlers • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: Military ScienceProbabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts (PQPF) based on the medium range forecast (MRF) ensemble are currently in ope...
View full detailsAn Analysis of the Impact of Base Support Resources on the Availability of Air Mobility Command Aircraft
Christian E. Randall
Paperback
• Author(s): Christian E. Randall • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: Aviation - GeneralOver the past decade, the nation's military has grown increasingly reliant upon strategic airlift capability. In the post-C...
View full detailsDeveloping a Forecast Tool for Cloud-To-Ground Lightning in the North Central and Northeast United States
Manuel I. Folsom
Paperback
• Author(s): Manuel I. Folsom • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralCloud-to-ground (CG) lightning is a hazard to the Air Force for both air and ground operations. Forecasting CG lightning is a necessary an...
View full detailsData Warehouse Techniques to Support Global On-Demand Weather Forecast Metrics
Meriellen C. Joga
Paperback
• Author(s): Meriellen C. Joga • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralAir Force pilots and other operators make crucial mission planning decisions based on weather forecasts; therefore, the ability to foreca...
View full detailsForecasting Research and Development Program Budgets Using the Weibull Model
Thomas W. Brown
Paperback
• Author(s): Thomas W. Brown • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: Research & DevelopmentNorden (1970) uses the Rayleigh, which is a degenerative of the Weibull, to model manpower on research and development (...
View full detailsLong-Range Forecast Possibilities for X-Band Radar Construction On Shemya
Brian K. Schroeder
Paperback
• Author(s): Brian K. Schroeder • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralThe Missile Defense Agency (MDA) plans to construct, during a two-week period, an X-Band Radar (XBR) on Shemya, AK. Wind speeds must not...
View full detailsA Study of Historical Inflation Forecasts Used in the Department of Defense Future Years Defense Program
Mark S. Sweitzer
Paperback
• Author(s): Mark S. Sweitzer • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralThis thesis explores historical inflation forecasts used in the Department of Defense (DoD) Future Years Defense Program. Recent General A...
View full detailsPredicting Launch Pad Winds at the Kennedy Space Center With a Neural Network Model
Steven J. Storch
Paperback
• Author(s): Steven J. Storch • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralThis thesis uses neural networks to forecast winds at the Kennedy Space Center and the Cape Canaveral Air Station launch pads. Variables a...
View full detailsStudy of Ammunition Consumption
William K. Freeman
Paperback
• Author(s): William K. Freeman • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralThe purpose of this research was to investigate the United States Army's ability to correctly estimate and forecast the amount of ammuni...
View full detailsAnalysis and Forecasting of Army Operating and Support Cost for Rotary Aircraft
John C. Hawkins
Paperback
• Author(s): John C. Hawkins • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: ForecastingThis research explores forecasting techniques to estimate the Cost per Flying Hour for Army Helicopters. Specifically, three separate f...
View full detailsForecasting Fuel Consumption Requirements for the Air Force Flying Hour Program Using Pooled Time Series Analysis
Thomas W. Brown
Paperback
• Author(s): Thomas W. Brown • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralThe United States Coast Guard uses pooled time series analysis to develop a ship and aviation fuel requirement forecasting model. Given the...
View full detailsProbability Weather Forecasts: For the Army?
Arthur C. Kyle
Paperback
• Author(s): Arthur C. Kyle • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralThe United States Army presently receives weather forecasts expressed in categorical terms. However, this forecast form limits the useful in...
View full detailsImproving Cape Canaveral's Next-Day Thunderstorm Forecasting Using a MESO-ETA Model-Based Index
John C. Crane
Paperback
• Author(s): John C. Crane • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralReliable thunderstorm forecasts are essential to safety and resource protection at Cape Canaveral. Current methods of forecasting day-2 thund...
View full detailsVerification of MM5 Cloud Microphysics Schemes for East Asia
Dean J. Carter
Paperback
• Author(s): Dean J. Carter • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralThis research compares biases of the Reisner Mixed-Phase Explicit Moisture Microphysics graupel (Option 7) and non-graupel schemes (Option 5...
View full detailsAn Intelligent User Interface to Support Air Force Weather Product Generation and Automated Metrics
Darryl N. Leon
Paperback
• Author(s): Darryl N. Leon • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: Human-Computer Interaction (HCI)Air Force pilots require dependable weather reports so they may avoid unsafe flying conditions. In order to better ...
View full detailsGPS-Derived Precipitable Water Compared With the Air Force Weather Agency's MM5 Model Output
Patricia A. Vollmer
Paperback
• Author(s): Patricia A. Vollmer • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: General Current moisture initialization sources lack the spatial and temporal resolution required for mesoscale moisture forecast accuracy cri...
View full detailsVerification and Comparison of Polar MM5 and AFWA MM5 Forecasts Over Alaska
William E. Courtemanche
Paperback
• Author(s): William E. Courtemanche • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: Earth Sciences - Meteorology & ClimatologyThe Mesoscale Model 5th Generation (MM5) is used for operational support to Air Force missio...
View full detailsA Neural Network Solution to Predicting Wind Speed at Cape Canaveral's Atlas Launch
Kenneth P. Cloys
Paperback
• Author(s): Kenneth P. Cloys • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralThis thesis demonstrates the potential for using time-delay neural networks to provide Launch Weather Officers (LWOs) at 45th Weather Squa...
View full detailsAn Improved Thunderstorm Forecast Index for Cape Canaveral, Florida
James A. Everitt
Paperback
• Author(s): James A. Everitt • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralThe two resulting algorithms are compared to NPTI and persistence, and are evaluated based on their ability to forecast thunderstorms corr...
View full detailsApplication of the Wind Gust Estimate and Comparison to the AFWA MM5 Wind Gust Algorithm
Kevin W. LaCroix
Paperback
• Author(s): Kevin W. LaCroix • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralThe Air Force Weather Agency (AFWA) runs the Penn State/NCAR Mesoscale Model 5 (MM5) as their main mesoscale weather forecast model. One o...
View full detailsDistributed Object System Egineering for Terminal Aerodrome Forecast Validation and Metrics Processing
James S. Douglas
Paperback
• Author(s): James S. Douglas • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralDistributed object systems are a very complex intertwining of heterogene-oushardware, software, and operating systems coupled with communi...
View full detailsTechniques for Forecasting the Cessation of Lightning at Cape Canaveral Air Station and the Kennedy Space Center
Michael W. Holmes
Paperback
• Author(s): Michael W. Holmes • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralThe focus of this research effort is directed toward identifying new methods of forecasting the cessation of lightning along the Central ...
View full detailsQuantification of the Effects of Data Denial and Limitation in MM5 Initialization on Forecast Accuracy
Robert W. Evans
Paperback
• Author(s): Robert W. Evans • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralDenied and limited model input data degrade the accuracy of numerical weather prediction (NWP) model forecasts. Inaccurate forecasts can ne...
View full detailsSpace Doctrine for the 21st Century
Robert D. Newberry
Paperback
• Author(s): Robert D. Newberry • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralReliable thunderstorm forecasts are essential to safety and resource protection at Cape Canaveral. Current methods of forecasting day-2 ...
View full detailsA Study of Morning Radiation Fog Formation
Jimmie L. Trigg
Paperback
• Author(s): Jimmie L. Trigg • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralThis research focuses on developing a linear regression formula that forecasters in the Midwest can use to accurately anticipate the format...
View full detailsUsing the WSR-88D to Forecast Downburst Winds at Cape Canaveral Air Station and the Kennedy Space Center
Gerald D. Sullivan
Paperback
• Author(s): Gerald D. Sullivan • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralThe 45 Weather Squadron (WS) is tasked with providing several convective wind warnings in support of the U. S. Space Program. The foreca...
View full detailsAn Evaluation of Microburst Prediction Indices for the Kennedy Space Center and Cape Canaveral Air Station
Steven N. Dickerson
Paperback
• Author(s): Steven N. Dickerson • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralA wet-microburst event on 16 August 1994 at the Kennedy Space Center s Shuttle Landing Facility alerted forecasters from the 45th Weath...
View full detailsAFMC Civilian Retention: Forecasting Policy on the Future of the Civilian Workforce
Dex Yi Landreth
Paperback
• Author(s): Dex Yi Landreth • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralThe achievement of the Department of Defense's (DOD) mission is dependent in large part on the skills and expertise of its civilian workfor...
View full detailsForecasting Downdraft Wind Speeds Associated With Airmass Thunderstorms For Peterson Air Force Base, Colorado, Using the WSR-88D
Travis A. Steen
Paperback
• Author(s): Travis A. Steen • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralDuring the period Jun-Aug 96, four Air Force installations suffered over $4.8 million in damage from convective winds. During the same summ...
View full detailsThe Air and Space Expeditionary Force System: A Conventional Construct Applied to an Irregular War
Stephen P. Frank
Paperback
• Author(s): Stephen P. Frank • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralThe U.S. Air Force (USAF) uses the Air and Space Expeditionary Force (AEF) construct to forecast deployment schedules and, more importantl...
View full detailsDesigning an Algorithm to Predict the Intensity of the Severe Weather Season
Hugh J. Freestrom
Paperback
• Author(s): Hugh J. Freestrom • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralExamination of atmospheric and oceanic circulations may explain interannual climate variability in the Northern Hemisphere on a seasonal ...
View full detailsForecasting the KC-135 Cost per Flying Hour: A Panel Data Analysis
Michael T. Bryant
Paperback
• Author(s): Michael T. Bryant • Publisher: Biblioscholar • Publisher Imprint: Biblioscholar • BISAC: GeneralThis thesis developed models to forecast the KC-135R monthly Consumables (CONS) and Depot Level Reparable (DLR) Cost per Flying Hour (CPF...
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