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Analisi delle serie temporali dei cambiamenti climatici by Mani N

Analisi delle serie temporali dei cambiamenti climatici

by Mani N , Rithika S , Sivakumaran P. K.
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Book cover type: Paperback
  • ISBN13: 9786209012112
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Subject: N/A
  • Publisher: Edizioni Sapienza
  • Publisher Imprint: Edizioni Sapienza
  • Publication Date:
  • Pages: 72
  • Original Price: GBP 38.19
  • Language: Italian
  • Edition: N/A
  • Item Weight: 109 grams
  • BISAC Subject(s): Probability & Statistics / General

Questo libro esplora l'importanza di un'accurata previsione delle precipitazioni per la gestione delle risorse idriche, l'agricoltura e la preparazione ai disastri. Presenta un'analisi comparativa di due modelli di previsione, la regressione vettoriale di supporto (SVR) e la media mobile autoregressiva stagionale integrata (SARIMA), utilizzando i dati storici delle precipitazioni dal 2008 al 2021 per prevedere le tendenze dal 2022 al 2026. Attraverso tecniche statistiche e di visualizzazione come l'analisi dei trend, le medie mobili, i box plots, le heatmaps, i Z-scores e i density plots, lo studio identifica modelli e anomalie nei dati pluviometrici. Sebbene entrambi i modelli mostrino una buona capacit� predittiva, SVR dimostra prestazioni superiori, soprattutto nel catturare modelli complessi e non lineari. Il libro evidenzia i vantaggi dell'integrazione dei metodi di apprendimento automatico con gli strumenti statistici tradizionali per migliorare la previsione delle precipitazioni e supportare le decisioni basate sui dati in agricoltura, nella pianificazione ambientale e nella resilienza climatica.

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