Analiza empiryczna bańki na rynku nieruchomości
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W większości badań dotyczących baniek gospodarczych podkreśla się, że trudno jest rozpoznac bańkę i podjąc odpowiednie dzialania, a jej skutki można naprawiac dopiero po fakcie. Celem niniejszej książki jest ustalenie, czy zmiany cen nieruchomości w Niemczech mogą doprowadzic do powstania bańki na rynku mieszkaniowym lub czy już ją tworzą, a także opracowanie prognozy dalszej dynamiki rynku mieszkaniowego w oparciu o najnowsze dostępne dane oraz analizę najważniejszych i aktualnych bańki na rynku nieruchomości. Ponadto należy oszacowac wplyw rosnących cen nieruchomości i przedstawic sugestie dotyczące możliwych skutk�w. Znaczenie tego tematu wynika z faktu, że po światowym kryzysie finansowym w 2008 r., spowodowanym bańką na amerykańskim rynku nieruchomości, kluczowe znaczenie mialo rozpoznawanie potencjalnych zalamań rynkowych, zwlaszcza następujących po bańkach na rynku nieruchomości, w celu uniknięcia tak wielkoskalowego kryzysu gospodarczego. Bańka w gospodarce danego kraju może prowadzic do bardzo drastycznych konsekwencji, a zakladając, że można ją przewidziec, zar�wno rząd, jak i osoby prywatne mogą podjąc pewne przygotowania.
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