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Analiza szeregów czasowych zmian klimatycznych by Mani N

Analiza szeregów czasowych zmian klimatycznych

by Mani N , Rithika S , Sivakumaran P. K.
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Book cover type: Paperback
  • ISBN13: 9786209012075
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Subject: N/A
  • Publisher: Wydawnictwo Nasza Wiedza
  • Publisher Imprint: Wydawnictwo Nasza Wiedza
  • Publication Date:
  • Pages: 72
  • Original Price: GBP 38.19
  • Language: Polish
  • Edition: N/A
  • Item Weight: 109 grams
  • BISAC Subject(s): Probability & Statistics / General

Ta książka bada znaczenie dokladnego prognozowania opad�w deszczu dla zarządzania zasobami wodnymi, rolnictwa i gotowości na wypadek katastrof. Przedstawiono w niej analizę por�wnawczą dw�ch modeli prognostycznych - regresji wektor�w nośnych (SVR) i sezonowej autoregresyjnej zintegrowanej średniej ruchomej (SARIMA) - wykorzystujących historyczne dane o opadach z lat 2008-2021 do przewidywania trend�w na lata 2022-2026. Dzięki technikom statystycznym i wizualizacyjnym, takim jak analiza trend�w, średnie ruchome, wykresy pudelkowe, mapy cieplne, wyniki Z i wykresy gęstości, badanie identyfikuje wzorce i anomalie w danych dotyczących opad�w. Podczas gdy oba modele wykazują dobrą zdolnośc predykcyjną, SVR wykazuje lepszą wydajnośc, szczeg�lnie w wychwytywaniu zlożonych, nieliniowych wzorc�w. Książka podkreśla zalety integracji metod uczenia maszynowego z tradycyjnymi narzędziami statystycznymi w celu poprawy prognozowania opad�w i wspierania decyzji opartych na danych w rolnictwie, planowaniu środowiskowym i odporności na zmiany klimatu.

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