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Analyse des séries temporelles du changement climatique by Mani N

Analyse des séries temporelles du changement climatique

by Mani N , Rithika S , Sivakumaran P. K.
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Book cover type: Paperback
  • ISBN13: 9786209012013
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Subject: N/A
  • Publisher: Editions Notre Savoir
  • Publisher Imprint: Editions Notre Savoir
  • Publication Date:
  • Pages: 72
  • Original Price: GBP 38.19
  • Language: French
  • Edition: N/A
  • Item Weight: 109 grams
  • BISAC Subject(s): Probability & Statistics / General

Ce livre explore l'importance d'une pr�vision pr�cise des pr�cipitations pour la gestion des ressources en eau, l'agriculture et la pr�paration aux catastrophes. Il pr�sente une analyse comparative de deux mod�les de pr�vision - la r�gression vectorielle de soutien (SVR) et la moyenne mobile int�gr�e auto-r�gressive saisonni�re (SARIMA) - en utilisant des donn�es pluviom�triques historiques de 2008 � 2021 pour pr�dire les tendances de 2022 � 2026. Gr�ce � des techniques statistiques et de visualisation telles que l'analyse des tendances, les moyennes mobiles, les diagrammes en bo�te, les cartes thermiques, les scores Z et les diagrammes de densit�, l'�tude identifie des mod�les et des anomalies dans les donn�es pluviom�triques. Alors que les deux mod�les montrent une bonne capacit� de pr�diction, le SVR d�montre une performance sup�rieure, en particulier dans la capture de mod�les complexes et non lin�aires. L'ouvrage souligne les avantages de l'int�gration des m�thodes d'apprentissage automatique aux outils statistiques traditionnels pour am�liorer la pr�vision des pr�cipitations et soutenir les d�cisions fond�es sur des donn�es dans les domaines de l'agriculture, de la planification environnementale et de la r�silience climatique.

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