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Beitrag zur Bestimmung der optimalen Zielinflationsrate by Idriss Hakik

Beitrag zur Bestimmung der optimalen Zielinflationsrate

by Idriss Hakik
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Book cover type: Paperback
  • ISBN13: 9786208509439
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Subject: N/A
  • Publisher: Verlag Unser Wissen
  • Publisher Imprint: Verlag Unser Wissen
  • Publication Date:
  • Pages: 128
  • Original Price: USD 83.0
  • Language: German
  • Edition: N/A
  • Item Weight: 200 grams
  • BISAC Subject(s): General

In dieser Arbeit soll mithilfe eines originellen Ansatzes, der Theorie und Praxis miteinander verbindet, die Beziehung zwischen Inflation und Wirtschaftswachstum in Marokko analysiert werden. Die Analyse der Quartalsdaten von 2000 bis 2019 mithilfe des Schwellenwertmodells, das ergab, dass es keine lineare Beziehung zwischen diesen beiden Variablen gibt. Die Ergebnisse identifizierten eine Inflationsrate von 3% als optimal. Die Inflationsschwelle, oberhalb derer die Inflation das Wirtschaftswachstum in Marokko negativ und signifikant beeinflusst, liegt bei einer Inflationsrate von 3% mit einem statistisch nicht signifikanten positiven Effekt unterhalb dieser Schwelle. Allerdings zeigt sich eine Verstärkung des negativen Effekts der Beziehung zwischen diesen beiden Aggregaten, wenn die Inflationsschwelle auf über 3% angehoben wird. Diese Ergebnisse deuten darauf hin, dass die marokkanischen Währungsbehörden die Beschränkungen der monetären Regeln der Inflationsrate, die auf einen impliziten Schwellenwert von unter 2% festgelegt ist, leicht lockern können.

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