Decision-Making under Uncertainty: An Applied Statistics Approach

Name: Decision-Making under Uncertainty: An Applied Statistics Approach
Brand: Praeger
SKU: 9780275935696
Price: 9553.0 INR
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by George Chacko

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ISBN13: 9780275935696
Binding: Hardcover
Subject: N/A
Publisher: Praeger
Publisher Imprint: Praeger
Publication Date: November 1, 1990
Pages: 272
Original Price: GBP 75.0
Language: English
Edition: N/A
Item Weight: 526 grams
BISAC Subject(s): Decision-Making & Problem Solving and Management

About The Book

In real-life decision-making situations it is necessary to make decisions with incomplete information, for oftentimes uncertain results. In Decision-Making Under Uncertainty, Dr. Chacko applies his years of statistical research and experience to the analysis of twenty-four real-life decision-making situations, both those with few data points (eg: Cuban Missile Crisis), and many data points (eg: aspirin for heart attack prevention). These situations encompass decision-making in a variety of business, social and political, physical and biological, and military environments. Though different, all of these have one characteristic in common: their outcomes are uncertain/unkown, and unknowable. Chacko Demonstrates how the decision-maker can reduce uncertainty by choosing probable outcomes using the statistical methods he introduces.

This detailed volume develops standard statistical concepts (t, x2, normal distribution, ANOVA), and the less familiar concepts (logical probability, subjective probability, Bayesian Inference, Penalty for Non-Fulfillment, Bluff-Threats Matrix, etc.). Chacko also offers a thorough discussion of the underlying theoretical principles. The end of each chapter contains a set of questions, three quarters of which focus on concepts, formulation, conclusion, resource commitments, and caveats; only one quarter with computations. Ideal for the practitioner, the work is also designed to serve as the primary text for graduate or advanced undergraduate courses in statistics and decision science.

About The Author

GEORGE K. CHACKO is Professor of Systems Science at the University of Southern California, and formerly the manager of operations research at Hughes Semiconductor Division. His previous works include Technology Management (Praeger 1988) and Dynamic Program Management (Praeger 1989).

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