Forêts, croissance et politique en Afrique subsaharienne
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Oubliez la notion simpliste selon laquelle la croissance �conomique finit par gu�rir la d�forestation. Cette �tude brise ce mythe en prouvant que les for�ts d'Afrique subsaharienne suivent un chemin bien plus p�rilleux: une trajectoire en forme de N invers� o� la destruction pr�coce laisse place � un r�tablissement partiel aux revenus moyens, avant de s'effondrer dans une nouvelle d�gradation aux niveaux de revenus plus �lev�s, sous l'effet de la consommation, de l'�talement urbain et de l'int�gration des march�s mondiaux. En int�grant les investissements directs �trangers dans l'analyse, la recherche d�montre que les entr�es de capitaux ne sont ni intrins�quement destructrices ni b�nignes; elles fonctionnent plut�t comme des catalyseurs conditionnels, o� une gouvernance faible amplifie la perte de for�ts tandis qu'une r�glementation cr�dible peut en fait d�placer les points d'inflexion de la croissance et att�nuer les cycles de d�forestation. L'argument le plus d�vastateur de l'�tude est que les for�ts ne sont pas des victimes passives mais des lieux de tension actifs, servant � la fois de lignes de vie �cologiques, de fondements des moyens de subsistance et de vaches � lait fiscales, un r�le qui rend les fantasmes de pure conservation aussi erron�s que les politiques de croissance sans entraves.
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