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Genetische Algorithmen zur Findung von Trading Rules by Grabowski, Markus

Genetische Algorithmen zur Findung von Trading Rules

by Markus Grabowski
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Book cover type: Paperback
  • ISBN13: 9783838670355
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Subject: N/A
  • Publisher: Diplom.de
  • Publisher Imprint: Diplom.de
  • Publication Date:
  • Pages: 148
  • Original Price: GBP 86.9
  • Language: German
  • Edition: N/A
  • Item Weight: 200 grams
  • BISAC Subject(s): General

Inhaltsangabe: Zusammenfassung: Zitate wie von Mark Twain „Für Börsenspekulationen ist der Februar einer der gefährlichsten Monate. Die anderen sind Juli, Januar, September, April, November, Mai, März, Juni, Dezember, August und Oktober." sind sinnbildlich für die Schwierigkeit oder sogar vielleicht Unmöglichkeit der Vorhersage von Kursverläufen an den Börsen dieser Welt. Das Ziel aber vieler Börsenanleger, bspw. fast aller Kleinaktionäre, ist es durch steigende Kurse (und Dividenden) möglichst hohe Gewinne an der Börse mitzunehmen, dieses würde durch ein Wissen über die Verläufe der zukünftigen Aktienkurse ermöglicht werden. Danach kann das Ziel als ein Maximierungsproblem des Gewinns dargestellt werden. Diese Arbeit versucht eine bereits kommerziell genutzte Idee zur Vorhersage von Verläufen und damit zur Maximierung näher zu bringen: die Genetischen Algorithmen. Dieses sind Optimierungsverfahren, die einen Suchprozess intelligent lenken. Im Speziellen wird zunächst ein Einblick in die Vielfalt von Börsenanlagestrategien gegeben, hierbei werden u.a. die Buy-and-Hold-Strategie, verschiedene Technische und Fundamentalstrategien erläutert und beurteilt. Nachfolgend wird eine Einführung in die naturanalogen Optimierungsverfahren gegeben, wobei zum einen sämtliche Begrifflichkeiten geklärt werden und zum anderen ein historischer Überblick der Entstehung derartiger Verfahren gegeben wird. Anschlie end werden die drei wichtigsten Vertreter der naturanalogen Optimierungsverfahren - das Evolutionary Programming, die Evolutionsstrategien, die Genetischen Algorithmen - näher gebracht. Nach einer theoretischen Vertiefung vor allem in die Thematik der Genetischen Algorithmen wird ein Modell, dass dieses Verfahren zur Findung von Anlagestrategien verwendet, dargestellt. Weiterhin wird die Programmierung des Verfahrens in der Programmiersprache Java zum Teil erläutert und eine Auswertung der durch die Implementierung gefundenen Daten vorgenommen. Im Speziellen wurden der Unters

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