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Gibt es rationale spekulative Seifenblasen auf den Finanzmärkten? by Riechert, Wolf-Andreas

Gibt es rationale spekulative Seifenblasen auf den Finanzmärkten?

by Wolf-Andreas Riechert
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Book cover type: Paperback
  • ISBN13: 9783867462969
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Subject: N/A
  • Publisher: Examicus Verlag
  • Publisher Imprint: Examicus Verlag
  • Publication Date:
  • Pages: 84
  • Original Price: USD 65.9
  • Language: German
  • Edition: N/A
  • Item Weight: 123 grams
  • BISAC Subject(s): Economics / General

Diplomarbeit aus dem Jahr 1998 im Fachbereich VWL - Geldtheorie, Geldpolitik, Note: 1.7, Freie Universität Berlin, Sprache: Deutsch, Abstract: Das Phänomen spekulativer rationaler Seifenblasen ist in der Literatur sehr umstritten. Die folgende Arbeit stellt die gegensätzlichen Positionen dar und gibt einen Einblick in die gegenwärtige Seifenblasendiskussion. Spekulative Blasen werden nach Aschinger als von den Fundamentalwerten abweichende Preisbildungen definiert. Der Umfang, den die Diskussion eingenommen hat, lä t sich zum einen durch die realen Auswirkungen exzessiver Vermögenspreisabweichungen auf die internationale Wettbewerbsfähigkeit, die Inflation und die Beschäftigung erklären. Wird als Ursache für diese Abweichungen ein rationales spekulatives Verhalten der Individuen und damit die Existenz rationaler spekulativer Blasen anerkannt, so sind letztere in dem Entscheidungskalkül eines Investors oder des staatlichen Planers mit zu berücksichtigen. Der staatliche Planer beispielsweise beachtet dann, da eine Seifenblase Einflu auf die Investitions- oder Sparentscheidungen der Akteure hat. Zum anderen ist das Interesse an der Diskussion deshalb so gro , weil die Existenz rationaler spekulativer Blasen einer Effizienzhypothese für die Finanzmärkte entgegenstehen würde. Die Effizienzhypothese besagt, da im Vermögenspreis alle verfügbaren Informationen enthalten sind. Dieser verändert sich nur dann, wenn die Individuen neue Informationen über die Entwicklung der Fundamentalwerte erhalten. Dagegen wird der Vermögenspreis durch eine rationale Blase verzerrt. Das spekulative Verhalten steigert nicht die Effizienz der Finanzmärkte, sondern führt nun von ihr weg.

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