Global Inflation and Recession/全球通胀与衰退
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Inflation is related to the national economy and people's livelihood, and to social stability. Once inflation occurs, the long-term cost is inevitable.
After years of low inflation, global inflation is resurfacing in a new form. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) of countries such as the United States has reached a new high in nearly 40 years, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) of countries such as Germany has reached a new high in 70 years. Is the world facing long-term inflation or short-term price increases? How to measure the impact of currency shocks and supply shocks on economic growth drivers and prices? Will there be a ""black swan"" of economic recession behind the huge global inflation ""grey rhino""? What impact will global inflation have on China's economic growth, producers and consumers, capital and asset markets?
The book ""Global Inflation and Recession"" vividly describes the transmission process from currency overissuance, asset price increases, and absorption of excess capacity in various countries to global price increases. From different perspectives such as energy and raw material supply shocks, labor supply shocks, global supply chain shocks, and changes in micro price formation mechanisms, it provides a comprehensive and in-depth analysis of global prices and growth in the post pandemic era.
Many research methods proposed in ""Global Inflation and Recession"" have both academic innovation value and provide decision-makers, business managers, and investors with easy to understand new analytical tools, revealing the formation mechanism and potential risks of global inflation and economic recession in the new era.
经过多年低通胀之后,全球通胀以新的形态卷土重来。美国等国家的消费者物价指数(CPI)创下近40年以来的新高,德国等国家的生产者价格指数(PPI)更是创70年来新高。世界各国面临的是长期通胀还是短期价格上扬?如何衡量货币冲击、供给冲击对经济增长动力和物价的影响?会不会在巨大的全球通胀"灰犀牛"背后,还跟着一只经济衰退的"黑天鹅"?全球通胀将对中国经济增长、生产者和消费者、资本和资产市场造成哪些影响?
《全球通胀与衰退》一书生动描述了从各国货币超发、资产价格上涨、过剩产能吸收到全球物价上涨的传导过程,并从能源原材料供给冲击、劳动供给冲击、全球供应链冲击、微观价格形成机制变化等不同角度,对后疫情时代的全球物价与增长做出了全方位的深入分析。
《全球通胀与衰退》中提出的很多研究方法,既有学术创新价值,也为决策者、企业管理者和投资者提供了通俗易懂的新分析工具,揭示了新时期全球通货膨胀和经济衰退的形成机理和潜在风险
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