L'architettura della Casualità: La Costruzione della Statistica Moderna con la Teoria della Misura
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Padroneggia i fondamenti matematici della statistica moderna
La statistica moderna non si basa soltanto su formule - � costruita sull'architettura rigorosa della teoria della misura, degli spazi di probabilit� e dell'analisi funzionale. Questo libro offre un'esplorazione profonda, sistematica e assiomatica delle fondamenta matematiche che modellano la teoria contemporanea della probabilit� e la modellizzazione statistica.
Dalle sigma-algebre e dalla misura di Lebesgue al teorema di Radon-Nikodym, all'aspettazione condizionata, alle martingale e alla teoria della decisione statistica, il lettore viene guidato attraverso la struttura portante dell'analisi stocastica moderna.
Progettato per studenti avanzati, ricercatori e professionisti, quest'opera collega la teoria pura della misura alla probabilit� avanzata e al quadro teorico dell'inferenza statistica.
Studenti magistrali in matematica, statistica o matematica applicata
Dottorandi in teoria della probabilit� o modellizzazione statistica
Ricercatori in processi stocastici e statistica matematica
Data scientist che desiderano solide basi teoriche
Docenti di probabilit� assiomatica
Chiunque voglia passare dalla probabilit� classica alla probabilit� moderna rigorosa
Come viene costruita la misura di Lebesgue a partire dalla misura esterna?
Cosa rende una funzione misurabile?
Perch� il teorema di Radon-Nikodym � fondamentale nella probabilit� moderna?
Come viene definita l'aspettazione in termini misura-teorici?
Qual � la struttura rigorosa dell'aspettazione condizionata?
In che modo le misure prodotto conducono ai teoremi di Fubini e Tonelli?
Qual � il ruolo dell'indipendenza nella probabilit� strutturale?
Come la teoria della misura costituisce la base dei modelli statistici moderni?
Come vengono definite rigorosamente la verosimiglianza, la sufficienza e l'informazione di Fisher?
Qual � il legame tra misure di probabilit� e teoria della decisione statistica?
Fondamenti di teoria della misura
Sigma-algebre e funzioni misurabili
Costruzione di Carath�odory
Integrale di Lebesgue e spazi Lp
Misure prodotto e costruzioni infinito-dimensionali
Assiomi di Kolmogorov e spazi di probabilit�
Teorema di Radon-Nikodym
Aspettazione condizionata e martingale
Indipendenza e leggi zero-uno
Modelli statistici parametrici
Teoria della verosimiglianza e informazione di Fisher
Teoria della decisione in prospettiva misura-teorica
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