Modélisation des risques Gestion des risques de souscription
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Le risque de souscription des compagnies d'assurance automobile a progressivement augmenté ces dernières années. Occidental Insurance, par exemple, a enregistré en juin 2015 la perte la plus élevée, soit 686 millions d'euros. La gestion de ce risque est devenue un sujet d'actualité en raison des crises financières de 2002 à 2014 et de l'utilisation de méthodes inappropriées pour la tarification des primes et le calcul des sinistres. La Grèce, par exemple, a été confrontée à des problèmes de faiblesse de la gestion des risques qui ont conduit à ce que l'obligation de prêt soit supérieure au PIB. Malgré l'existence d'une modélisation des risques dans les assurances occidentales par l'utilisation de modèles déterministes, elles n'ont pas encore eu recours à des modèles stochastiques ou de simulation, ce qui a conduit à ces pertes. Le Royaume-Uni (RU), les États-Unis et l'Inde ont pratiqué la gestion des risques, le Royaume-Uni ayant utilisé le modèle Solvabilité II et des modèles stochastiques. Cela a contribué à l'éradication du risque au Royaume-Uni. La modélisation des risques est rarement utilisée pour le calcul des sinistres globaux. Le secteur kenyan de l'assurance n'a pas encore utilisé cette modélisation. L'objectif principal de cette étude était d'appliquer la modélisation des risques en tant que stratégie de gestion des risques de souscription au sein de la compagnie d'assurance Occidental et du secteur de l'assurance en général.
• Author(s): Clear | James • Publisher: Penguin • Publisher Imprint: Penguin Random House • Subject: General Books
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Rich Dad Poor Dad: What the Rich Teach Their Kids about Money That the Poor and Middle Class Do Not!
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