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Modellizzazione econometrica dei fattori determinanti del tasso di cambio by Works, Richard Floyd

Modellizzazione econometrica dei fattori determinanti del tasso di cambio

by Richard Floyd Works
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Book cover type: Paperback
  • ISBN13: 9786208835729
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Subject: N/A
  • Publisher: Edizioni Sapienza
  • Publisher Imprint: Edizioni Sapienza
  • Publication Date:
  • Pages: 120
  • Original Price: GBP 56.46
  • Language: Italian
  • Edition: N/A
  • Item Weight: 173 grams
  • BISAC Subject(s): General

Numerosi ricercatori hanno studiato la connessione tra le fluttuazioni del tasso di cambio e le variabili macroeconomiche per varie economie di mercato. Tuttavia, pochi studi hanno affrontato la questione se tali relazioni possano differire in base alla classificazione di mercato di una determinata economia. Questo studio ha esaminato l'impatto sui tassi di cambio del Giappone (un proxy per le economie sviluppate) e della Corea del Sud (un proxy per le economie emergenti) derivante dalle variabili macroeconomiche del modello monetario dei prezzi rigidi, tra il 1 febbraio 1989 e il 1 febbraio 2015. I risultati mostrano che l'offerta di moneta e l'inflazione hanno avuto un'influenza significativa, ma modesta, sui movimenti del tasso di cambio sudcoreano, mentre nessuna variabile macroeconomica all'interno del modello ha avuto un impatto significativo sulle fluttuazioni dei tassi di cambio giapponesi. I risultati delle analisi degli errori autoregressivi suggeriscono piccole variazioni nell'effetto che le variabili macroeconomiche possono avere sulle economie dei mercati sviluppati rispetto a quelle emergenti. Ci� potrebbe fornire la prova che le aziende possono utilizzare tecniche di previsione simili per le valute dei mercati emergenti e per quelle dei mercati sviluppati.

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