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Point de basculement: vers une catastrophe ou un apaisement au Moyen-Orient by Philippe Bernard

Point de basculement: vers une catastrophe ou un apaisement au Moyen-Orient

by Philippe Bernard
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Book cover type: Paperback
  • ISBN13: 9798231430574
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Subject: N/A
  • Publisher: Global East-West Ltd
  • Publisher Imprint: Global East-West Ltd
  • Publication Date:
  • Pages: 204
  • Original Price: GBP 31.49
  • Language: French
  • Edition: N/A
  • Item Weight: 282 grams
  • BISAC Subject(s): International Relations / Diplomacy

Le Moyen-Orient se trouve perp�tuellement au bord d'un conflit majeur centr� sur le programme nucl�aire iranien et la menace d'une frappe pr�ventive isra�lienne. Point de basculement propose une analyse impartiale de cette situation explosive � travers trois sc�narios plausibles, d�passant le sensationnalisme pour offrir une vision lucide des probabilit�s.

L'ouvrage, �crit par un diplomate fran�ais expert dans le Moyen-Orient, examine d'abord le contexte tendu actuel: un gouvernement d'extr�me droite en Isra�l dirig� par un Premier ministre confront� � des accusations de crimes de guerre. Cette situation soul�ve la question troublante de savoir si un dirigeant d�sesp�r� pourrait plonger la r�gion dans le chaos pour se pr�server politiquement.

Les �tats du Golfe, ayant investi massivement dans des alliances s�curitaires et adh�r� aux accords d'Abraham, s'interrogent sur l'efficacit� r�elle de ces partenariats face � une confrontation isra�lo-iranienne. Les retraits am�ricains pass�s, notamment d'Afghanistan, illustrent les limites de la protection ext�rieure, soulevant des doutes sur la capacit� de ces accords � prot�ger contre une puissance comme l'Iran.

L'analyse questionne �galement la doctrine America First et la capacit� des �tats-Unis � jouer un r�le constructif, compte tenu de leurs n�gociations avec les talibans et de leur sortie peu glorieuse d'Afghanistan.

Point de basculement d�veloppe trois sc�narios d�taill�s: une guerre r�gionale d�vastatrice, une escalade limit�e avec confinement, et une voie diplomatique difficile mais possible. L'ouvrage r�v�le les co�ts humains, �conomiques et g�opolitiques immenses de chaque option.

Cet ouvrage est une lecture essentielle et opportune pour tous ceux qui cherchent � comprendre la danse complexe du pouvoir, de l'ambition et des cons�quences au Moyen-Orient, offrant un regard sobre et sans sentimentalisme sur les futurs possibles qui nous attendent.

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