Preparing For Uncertainty: A Framework to Minimize the Impacts of Disasters and Societal Change
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The last 75 years of relative peace is a cultural abnormality. The focus of this book begins with the events that have the highest likelihood of occurring in your daily life under current circumstances: house fire, financial distress, and crime. Then it moves on to what many today are considering our inevitable future: civil unrest, and gray zone warfare. The secondary effects of these are addressed in detail, including shelter, food, water, energy, security, communication, medical and sanitation with the understanding that most people live in an urban environment with no realistic plans of heading to the mountains when a crisis comes.
Using a series of contemporary disasters as an example this book will give you a practical step-by-step plan to increase your preparedness for disruptions, give you the tools to gather and analyze intelligence, and recognize when others are attempting to manipulate you.
Introduction
Immediate Action: Fire, Finance and Crime
Part One: Hurricane Hugo and Basic Disasters
Tier One Preparedness: Food and Water
Tier One Preparedness: Power
Part Two: Hurricane Katrina and Security Concerns
Tier Two Preparedness: Home Security
Tier Two Preparedness: Medical
Tier Two Preparedness: Communication
Part Three: East Palestine Ohio Train Derailment
Tier Three Preparedness: Area Study
Tier Three Preparedness: Planning Process
Tier Three Preparedness: Evacuation
Tier Three Preparedness: Bug Out Bag
Part Four: Civil Unrest
Tier Four Preparedness: Tactical Intelligence
Tier Four Preparedness: Signature Management
Tier Four Preparedness: Navigation
Tier Four Preparedness: Scouting and Patrolling
Part Five: Gray Zone/5th Generation Warfare
Information Warfare
Economic Warfare
Psychological Warfare
Political Warfare
Cyber Warfare
Kinetic Warfare
Characteristics of 5th Generation Warfare
Threats
Final Thoughts
Appendix A Sample Contingency Plan
Appendix B Sample Communications Plan
Appendix C Sample Evacuation Plan
Appendix D Useful Websites
Butch Trail is a retired Marine and has served in a dozen operations including combat and humanitarian missions. He has a Masters Degree in Business and Security Management, a Bachelor of Science in Social Psychology and has more than 30 years experience in security, disaster, and business continuity planning. He has been a survivor of a devastating major hurricane, several minor disasters, and volunteered at non-governmental organizations during significant disasters. He has been the planner, the responder, and the survivor.
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