Quantifizierung der Wirkungen regionalpolitischer Instrumente: Methoden und Ergebnisse
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Inhaltsangabe: Zusammenfassung: Ma nahmen der Regionalpolitik wie Investitionsförderung, Ausbau einer wirtschaftsnahen Infrastruktur und Produktionssubventionen sind aus dem Baukasten moderner Wirtschaftspolitik kaum noch wegzudenken. Allein die Europäische Union gibt in der Förderperiode von 2000 bis 2006 jährlich im Schnitt 35,5 Mrd. Euro und damit 34 % ihres Gesamthaushaltes für Projekte mit regionalpolitischem Hintergrund aus. Angesichts solcher finanziellen Volumina ist eine genaue Untersuchung der Wirkungen von regionalpolitischen Instrumenten unabdingbar. Ziel dieser Arbeit ist es, die bekanntesten wissenschaftlichen Methoden zur Quantifizierung der Effekte regionalpolitischer Ma nahmen darzustellen, die Ergebnisse zu präsentieren und die Methoden einer kritischen Bewertung zu unterziehen. Ausgehend von einer kurzen Einleitung in Fragestellung, Aufbau und Methodik der Arbeit werden prägnant zentrale Begriffe erklärt. Hierbei gilt es besonders, die Regionalpolitik als Begriff abzugrenzen, wie auch die verschiedenen Instrumente der deutschen und europäischen Regionalpolitik zu beschreiben. Von zentraler Bedeutung für den weiteren Untersuchungsgang ist es, die Wirkungskontrolle als einen Teil der Erfolgskontrolle darzustellen. Die Wirkungskontrolle meint dabei eine Abbildung der Veränderungen, welche durch eine bestimmte regionalpolitische Ma nahme ausgelöst werden. Hier zeigt sich eine klare Abgrenzung zu weiteren Analysemethoden, welche lediglich die Wirtschaftlichkeit oder den Vollzug von Wirtschaftspolitiken untersuchen. Die Quantifizierung der Wirkungen bildet dabei den Kern der weiteren Analyse und erlaubt es, anhand ökonomischer Modellierung den Wirkungsgrad eines regionalpolitischen Instruments in Zahlen zu benennen. Es soll dargestellt werden, welche Wirkung Regionalpolitik auf die üblichen Zielvariablen Bruttoinlandsprodukt, Beschäftigung, Investitionen, aber auch den Konsum, das Preisniveau und die Bilanz der öffentlichen Haushalte zeigt. Hier gilt
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