Rules and Allies
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When and how do states intervene in elections in other countries? Foreign interveners may aim to further the process of clean elections, or they may support the campaign of a candidate they like. It could also be in their best interest to do both at the same time. Bubeck and Marinov systematically analyze various scenarios using a dataset covering more than three hundred elections in over a hundred countries. They show both theoretically and empirically that states with a liberal mission, such as the United States, combine promoting democracy with helping their political allies win office. Political divisions invite foreign interventions, and foreign interference, in turn, makes targeted societies more polarized along political lines. Whilst the authors argue that foreign interventions do not always harm democracy and may even help the cause of free elections, they also show how elections can turn into proxy wars, in which powerful states compete against each other, through their local allies.
Bubeck, Johannes: - Johannes Bubeck is a Ph.D. Student in Economics at the Universität Mannheim, Germany. He studies election interventions both from a theoretical perspective and using large scale data collection efforts. Parts of his Ph.D. thesis have been published in the American Political Science Review.
Marinov, Nikolay: - Nikolay Marinov is Associate Professor of Political Science at the University of Houston. He studies economic sanctions, election interventions, and modern propaganda. His work on election interventions in Lebanon has won a best paper award from the Midwest Political Science Association.
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