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Smart Money? Der Erfolg von Prognosemärkten by Jester-Pfadt, Tim Oliver

Smart Money? Der Erfolg von Prognosemärkten

by Tim Oliver Jester-Pfadt
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Book cover type: Paperback
  • ISBN13: 9783956841156
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Subject: N/A
  • Publisher: Bachelor + Master Publishing
  • Publisher Imprint: Bachelor + Master Publishing
  • Publication Date:
  • Pages: 50
  • Original Price: GBP 26.99
  • Language: German
  • Edition: N/A
  • Item Weight: 105 grams
  • BISAC Subject(s): General

Prognosemärkte versuchen das Wissen der Masse zu nutzen, um Aussagen über ungewisse Ereignisse zu treffen. In diesem Buch wird deren Funktionsweise und Fundamentalprinzipien erläutert. Es wird ein Überblick über die verschiedenen Kontraktarten und Auktionsmethoden gegeben und deren Nutzen sowie Vor- und Nachteile verdeutlicht. Eine Reihe empirischer Studien aus verschiedenen Anwendungsbereichen gibt zudem einen Eindruck von der Prognosegenauigkeit von Prognosemärkten im Vergleich zu klassischen Vorhersagemethoden. Um eine kritische Betrachtung zu ermöglichen, werden verschiedene Probleme und Ineffizienzen beleuchtet, die die Anwendung von Prognosemärkten einschränken. In der Schlussbetrachtung wird reflektierend eine Anwendungsempfehlung gegeben, unter welchen Umständen die Implementierung und Interpretation eines Prognosemarktes möglich ist.

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