Skip to content

Booksellers & Trade Customers: Sign up for online bulk buying at trade.atlanticbooks.com for wholesale discounts

Booksellers: Create Account on our B2B Portal for wholesale discounts

Stock Market Crashes: Predictable and Unpredictable and What to Do about Them by William T. Ziemba, Mikhail Zhitlukhin, Sebastien Lleo

Stock Market Crashes: Predictable and Unpredictable and What to Do about Them

by William T. Ziemba , Mikhail Zhitlukhin , Sebastien Lleo
Sold out
₹11,051.00
₹11,051.00
₹11,051.00
₹11,051.00
₹11,051.00

Imported Edition - Ships in 18-21 Days

Free Shipping in India on orders above Rs. 500

Request Bulk Quantity Quote
+91
Book cover type: Hardcover
  • ISBN13: 9789813222601
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • Subject: N/A
  • Publisher: World Scientific Publishing Company
  • Publisher Imprint: World Scientific Publishing Company
  • Publication Date:
  • Pages: 308
  • Original Price: USD 111.0
  • Language: English
  • Edition: N/A
  • Item Weight: 581 grams
  • BISAC Subject(s): Investments & Securities / Analysis & Trading Strategies

'Overall, the book provides an interesting and useful synthesis of the authors� (TM) research on the predictions of stock market crashes. The book can be recommended to anyone interested in the Bond Stock Earnings Yield Differential model, and similar methods to predict crashes.'Quantitative FinanceThis book presents studies of stock market crashes big and small that occur from bubbles bursting or other reasons. By a bubble we mean that prices are rising just because they are rising and that prices exceed fundamental values. A bubble can be a large rise in prices followed by a steep fall. The focus is on determining if a bubble actually exists, on models to predict stock market declines in bubble-like markets and exit strategies from these bubble-like markets. We list historical great bubbles of various markets over hundreds of years.We present four models that have been successful in predicting large stock market declines of ten percent plus that average about minus twenty-five percent. The bond stock earnings yield difference model was based on the 1987 US crash where the S&P 500 futures fell 29% in one day. The model is based on earnings yields relative to interest rates. When interest rates become too high relative to earnings, there almost always is a decline in four to twelve months. The initial out of sample test was on the Japanese stock market from 1948-88. There all twelve danger signals produced correct decline signals. But there were eight other ten percent plus declines that occurred for other reasons. Then the model called the 1990 Japan huge -56% decline. We show various later applications of the model to US stock declines such as in 2000 and 2007 and to the Chinese stock market. We also compare the model with high price earnings decline predictions over a sixty year period in the US. We show that over twenty year periods that have high returns they all start with low price earnings ratios and end with high ratios. High price earnings models have predictive value and the BSEYD models predict even better. Other large decline prediction models are call option prices exceeding put prices, Warren Buffett's value of the stock market to the value of the economy adjusted using BSEYD ideas and the value of Sotheby's stock. Investors expect more declines than actually occur. We present research on the positive effects of FOMC meetings and small cap dominance with Democratic Presidents. Marty Zweig was a wall street legend while he was alive. We discuss his methods for stock market predictability using momentum and FED actions. These helped him become the leading analyst and we show that his ideas still give useful predictions in 2016-2017. We study small declines in the five to fifteen percent range that are either not expected or are expected but when is not clear. For these we present methods to deal with these situations.The last four January-February 2016, Brexit, Trump and French elections are analzyed using simple volatility-S&P 500 graphs. Another very important issue is can you exit bubble-like markets at favorable prices. We use a stopping rule model that gives very good exit results. This is applied successfully to Apple computer stock in 2012, the Nasdaq 100 in 2000, the Japanese stock and golf course membership prices, the US stock market in 1929 and 1987 and other markets. We also show how to incorporate predictive models into stochastic investment models.

Trusted for over 48 years

Family Owned Company

Secure Payment

All Major Credit Cards/Debit Cards/UPI & More Accepted

New & Authentic Products

India's Largest Distributor

Need Support?

Whatsapp Us

Bestselling

View All
Atomic Habits (Lead Title) by Clear, James

Atomic Habits (Lead Title)

Clear, James

₹585
₹899
₹899
₹899
(-35%)
₹585
₹585

• Author(s): Clear | James • Publisher: Penguin • Publisher Imprint: Penguin Random House • Subject: General Books

Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Partypooper (Book 20) by Jeff Kinney

Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Partypooper (Book 20)

Jeff Kinney

₹455
₹699
₹699
₹699
(-35%)
₹455
₹455

• Author(s): Jeff Kinney • Publisher: Penguin Random House Children's UK • Publisher Imprint: Penguin Random House Children's UK • BISAC: Comics & Graphic Novels - Humorous

Ikigai by Hector Garcia

Ikigai

Hector Garcia

₹420
₹599
₹599
₹599
(-30%)
₹420
₹420

• Author(s): Hector Garcia • Publisher: Penguin • Publisher Imprint: Penguin Random House • Subject: General Books

The Courage To Be Disliked How To Free Yourself Change Your Life And Achieve Real Happiness Courage To Series by Ichiro Kishimi

The Courage To Be Disliked How To Free Yourself Change Your Life And Achieve Real Happiness Courage To Series

Ichiro Kishimi

₹385
₹550
₹550
₹550
(-30%)
₹385
₹385

• Author(s): Ichiro Kishimi • Publisher: GROVE ATLANTIC • Publisher Imprint: Allen & Unwin • BISAC: Personal Growth - SuccessIchiro Kishimi lives in Kyoto. He writes, lectures and teaches in psychiatric clinics as a certified counsellor and c...

View full details
12 Years: My Messed-up Love Story by Chetan Bhagat

12 Years: My Messed-up Love Story

Chetan Bhagat

₹260
₹399
₹399
₹399
(-35%)
₹260
₹260

• Author(s): Chetan Bhagat • Publisher: HarperCollins Publishers India • Publisher Imprint: HarperCollins Publishers India • BISAC: GeneralFrom India's top-selling writer Chetan Bhagat comes a powerful new love story that will make you laugh, cry...

View full details
The Mountain Is You: Transforming Self-Sabotage Into Self-Mastery by Brianna Wiest

The Mountain Is You: Transforming Self-Sabotage Into Self-Mastery

Brianna Wiest

₹280
₹399
₹399
₹399
(-30%)
₹280
₹280

• Author(s): Brianna Wiest • Publisher: Manjul Publishing • Publisher Imprint: Amaryllis • BISAC: Body Mind And SpiritThis is a book about self-sabotage. Why we do it, when we do it, and how to stop doing it—for good. Coexisting but conflicting n...

View full details
The Art of Spending Money: Simple Choices for a Richer Life by Morgan Housel

The Art of Spending Money: Simple Choices for a Richer Life

Morgan Housel

₹325
₹499
₹499
₹499
(-35%)
₹325
₹325

• Author(s): Morgan Housel • Publisher: Pan Macmillan • Publisher Imprint: Pan Macmillan • BISAC: Finance - Wealth ManagementA third book from the International bestselling author of The Psychology of Money and Same as Ever, lessons on harnessing...

View full details
Mother Mary Comes To Me by Arundhati Roy

Mother Mary Comes To Me

Arundhati Roy

₹585
₹899
₹899
₹899
(-35%)
₹585
₹585

• Author(s): Arundhati Roy • Publisher: PRH INDIA LOCAL PRINT • Publisher Imprint: Penguin Hamish Hamilton • BISAC: Literary Figures

Truth without Apology: A Guide for Those Who Can Stand It by Acharya Prashant

Truth without Apology: A Guide for Those Who Can Stand It

Acharya Prashant

₹260
₹399
₹399
₹399
(-35%)
₹260
₹260

• Author(s): Acharya Prashant • Publisher: HarperCollins Publishers India • Publisher Imprint: HarperCollins Publishers India • BISAC: GeneralIn a world where vagueness is mistaken for depth and obscurity passes for wisdom, Truth without Apology ...

View full details
Grandma's Bag of Stories by Sudha Murthy

Grandma's Bag of Stories

Sudha Murthy

₹179
₹275
₹275
₹275
(-35%)
₹179
₹179

• Author(s): Sudha Murthy • Publisher: India Puffin • Publisher Imprint: India Puffin • BISAC: Short StoriesWho can resist a good story, especially when it's being told by Grandma? From her bag emerges tales of kings and cheats, monkeys and mic...

View full details

Days at the Morisaki Bookshop

Satoshi Yagisawa

₹260
₹399
₹399
₹399
(-35%)
₹260
₹260

• Author(s): Satoshi Yagisawa • Publisher: Bonnier Books Ltd • Publisher Imprint: Bonnier Books Ltd

Deep Work: Rules For Focused Success In A Distracted World by Newport, Cal

Deep Work: Rules For Focused Success In A Distracted World

Newport, Cal

₹260
₹399
₹399
₹399
(-35%)
₹260
₹260

• Author(s): Newport, Cal • Publisher: Little, Brown Book Group • Publisher Imprint: Piatkus

Can We Be Strangers Again?: A National Bestseller by Shrijeet Shandilya

Can We Be Strangers Again?: A National Bestseller

Shrijeet Shandilya

₹210
₹299
₹299
₹299
(-30%)
₹210
₹210

• Author(s): Shrijeet Shandilya • Publisher: Ebury Press • Publisher Imprint: Ebury Press • BISAC: Romance - GeneralIn the electric haze of college life, three friends are bound by laughter, late-night talks and unspoken promises. But when two of...

View full details
The Secret of Secrets: (Robert Langdon Book 6) by Dan Brown

The Secret of Secrets: (Robert Langdon Book 6)

Dan Brown

₹975
₹1,499
₹1,499
₹1,499
(-35%)
₹975
₹975

• Author(s): Dan Brown • Publisher: Transworld Publishers Ltd • Publisher Imprint: Transworld Publishers Ltd • BISAC: Thrillers - EspionageDan Brown is the bestselling author of Digital Fortress, Deception Point, Angels and Demons, The Da Vinci C...

View full details
Magic of the Lost Temple by Sudha Murty

Magic of the Lost Temple

Sudha Murty

₹179
₹275
₹275
₹275
(-35%)
₹179
₹179

• Author(s): Sudha Murty • Publisher: India Puffin • Publisher Imprint: India Puffin • BISAC: Action & Adventure - General

Rich Dad Poor Dad: What the Rich Teach Their Kids about Money That the Poor and Middle Class Do Not!

₹390
₹599
₹599
₹599
(-35%)
₹390
₹390

• Publisher: Penguin • Publisher Imprint: Penguin Random House • Subject: General Books • BISAC: Personal Finance - GeneralApril of 2022 marks a 25-year milestone for the personal finance classic Rich Dad Poor Dad that still ranks as the #1 Pers...

View full details

World’S Greatest Books For Personal Growth & Wealth (Set Of 4 Books) : Perfect Motivational

Dale Carnegie, Napoleon Hill

₹490
₹699
₹699
₹699
(-30%)
₹490
₹490

• Author(s): Dale Carnegie | Napoleon Hill • Publisher: Fingerprint • Publisher Imprint: Fingerprint • Subject: General Books

The Housemaid: An Addictive Psychological Thriller With Mind-Bending Twists by Freida Mcfadden

The Housemaid: An Addictive Psychological Thriller With Mind-Bending Twists

Freida Mcfadden

₹358
₹550
₹550
₹550
(-35%)
₹358
₹358

• Author(s): Freida Mcfadden • Publisher: Penguin Select Print • Publisher Imprint: Penguin Select Publishing"Multi-Million Copy Bestselling Series •Now Being Made Into a Major Motion Picture Starring Sydney Sweeney and Amanda Seyfried #1 New Yor...

View full details
101 Tales: The Great Panchatantra Collection by Wonder House Books

101 Tales: The Great Panchatantra Collection

Wonder House Books

₹390
₹599
₹599
₹599
(-35%)
₹390
₹390

• Author(s): Wonder House Books • Publisher: Wonder House Books • Publisher Imprint: Wonder House Books • BISAC: Comics & Graphic Novels - Fairy Tales, Folklore, Legends & MTimeless Wisdom, Talking Animals & Life Lessons for Young Min...

View full details

Man's Search For Meaning

Viktor E. Frankl

₹260
₹399
₹399
₹399
(-35%)
₹260
₹260

• Author(s): Viktor E. Frankl • Publisher: Random House • Publisher Imprint: Random Hou • Subject: Medical, Nursing and Health Sciences

Bacchon KI Doctor's Desi Parenting Book: A Doctor-Mom's Guide to Milk, Myths, Motherhood and More by Madhavi Bharadwaj

Bacchon KI Doctor's Desi Parenting Book: A Doctor-Mom's Guide to Milk, Myths, Motherhood and More

Madhavi Bharadwaj

₹260
₹399
₹399
₹399
(-35%)
₹260
₹260

• Author(s): Madhavi Bharadwaj • Publisher: PRH India • Publisher Imprint: Penguin Ebury Press • BISAC: Parenting - MotherhoodWelcome to the wild, messy, wonderful world of parenting--where the nights are long, the diapers are explosive, and unso...

View full details
The Outsider by Vir Das

The Outsider

Vir Das

₹455
₹699
₹699
₹699
(-35%)
₹455
₹455

• Author(s): Vir Das • Publisher: HarperCollins Publishers India • Publisher Imprint: HarperCollins Publishers India • BISAC: Entertainment & Performing ArtsComedian and actor Vir Das is beloved (by some, tolerated by others, blocked by a few...

View full details
The Very Hungry Caterpillar by Eric Carle

The Very Hungry Caterpillar

Eric Carle

₹293
₹450
₹450
₹450
(-35%)
₹293
₹293

• Author(s): Eric Carle • Publisher: Penguin Books, Limited (UK) • Publisher Imprint: Penguin Books, Limited (UK) • BISAC: Animals - Butterflies, Moths & CaterpillarsEric Carle's The Very Hungry Caterpillar is a perennial favourite with child...

View full details
Too Good to Be True : A smart, funny will-they-won’t-they romance by mostlysane by Prajakta Koli

Too Good to Be True : A smart, funny will-they-won’t-they romance by mostlysane

Prajakta Koli

₹260
₹399
₹399
₹399
(-35%)
₹260
₹260

• Author(s): Prajakta Koli • Publisher: Harper Fiction India • Publisher Imprint: Harper Fiction India • BISAC: Romance - ContemporaryWinner of the Amazon India Popular Choice Debut Book 2025 Award. From one of India's most-loved creators comes s...

View full details
Home
Genres
Account
Chat