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Sur Les Modèles Autorégressifs by Arkoun-O

Sur Les Modèles Autorégressifs

by Arkoun-O
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Book cover type: Paperback
  • ISBN13: 9786131534447
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Subject: N/A
  • Publisher: Omniscriptum
  • Publisher Imprint: Omniscriptum
  • Publication Date:
  • Pages: 84
  • Original Price: GBP 34.0
  • Language: French
  • Edition: N/A
  • Item Weight: 137 grams
  • BISAC Subject(s): Probability & Statistics / General

Cette thèse se consacre à l'estimation non paramétrique pour les modèles autorégressifs. Nous considérons le problème de l'estimation d'une fonction inconnue en un point fixe à l'aide de données régies par des modèles autorégressifs. Pour définir le risque associé à l'emploi d'un estimateur et ainsi mesurer la qualité de celui-ci, nous utilisons la fonction de perte liée à l'erreur absolue. Le travail de cette thèse suit l'approche minimax dont l'objectif est de trouver une borne inférieure asymptotique du risque minimax puis de construire un estimateur, dit asymptotiquement efficace, dont le risque maximal atteint asymptotiquement cette borne. Pour un modèle autorégressif non paramétrique où la fonction autorégressive est supposée appartenir à une classe Höldérienne faible de régularité connue, nous montrons qu'un estimateur à noyau est asymptotiquement efficace. Lorsque la régularité de la fonction autorégressive est inconnue, nous obtenons la vitesse de convergence minimax adaptative des estimateurs sur une famille de classes Höldériennes.

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