The Art of Contrarian Trading: How to Profit from Crowd Behavior in the Financial Markets
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From the Back Cover
Praise For
The Art of Contrarian Trading
A practical guide to profiting from the crowd's investment mistakes
"Most authors totally overlook the ultimate investment problem; which is the fact that our own observations continually alter the outcome. Thankfully, Carl Futia shows us the way out of this analytic cul-de-sac, and the way toward excess returns: If we have the right stuff to follow him."
--Paul Macrae Montgomery, Owner and CEO, Montgomery Capital Management
The Art of Contrarian Trading reveals techniques for identifying and exploiting the investment opportunities that arise when crowd-based groupthink causes markets to become overvalued or undervalued.
Written by leading investment blogger Carl Futia, this book explains in detail why mar-kets are driven by crowd behavior and shows how crowd-based groupthink connects with the theory of efficient markets. Futia offers a practical approach to contrarian trading, with specific strategies for both the conservative and the aggressive contrarian trader. He shows how to use technical indicators and quantitative information in combination with media headlines to determine when market sentiment has gotten far out of hand, providing the tools to measure crowd behavior and spot situations where it's time to takea position against the crowd--while also helping you remain objective.
CARL FUTIA is a trader who runs a highly rated investment/trading blog (carlfutia.blogspot.com). He provides very specific price forecasts for the stock, bond, and various commodity markets. Futia's main tools are derived from the theory of contrary opinion and box theory. He holds a BA in economics from Yale University, a master's degree in mathematics from the University of California at Berkeley, and a PhD in mathematical economics from Berkeley as well. Futia has published several papers in theoretical economics in scholarly journals.
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