Uncertainty Bands: A Guide to Predicting and Regulating Economic Processes

Name: Uncertainty Bands: A Guide to Predicting and Regulating Economic Processes
Brand: Atlantic Books
SKU: 9781839983986
Price: 2675.0 INR
Availability: InStock

by Ashot Tavadyan

Save 2%

₹2,675.00

₹2,729.00

(-2%)

₹2,675.00

Imported Edition - Ships in 18-21 Days

Free Shipping in India on orders above Rs. 500

Request Bulk Quantity Quote

Name

Quantity

+91

Company Name

Message

Quantity

More Information

ISBN13: 9781839983986
Binding: Paperback
Subject: N/A
Publisher: Anthem Press
Publisher Imprint: Anthem Press
Publication Date: June 14, 2022
Pages: 102
Original Price: GBP 20.99
Language: English
Edition: N/A
Item Weight: 164 grams
BISAC Subject(s): Forecasting

About The Book

This book explores the philosophy of economic forecasting under uncertainty. In economics the extreme events are difficult and often impossible to predict, especially when leaning upon the past only. Events can be approximately evaluated, as they may be sudden and erratic. The presentation of programs for years ahead is of little value because the uncertainty intervals expand when economic volatility increases, forming uncertainty bands. This book presents the effect of an expanding uncertainty band.

This book reasons that the economic system has sensitivity thresholds - critical states of economic processes at which they significantly alter their characteristics. In those critical states, economic phase transitions may occur. A slowdown in economic growth, especially a tangible recession, can result in negative qualitative changes in the economy, which can have a long-term impact. As in medicine, in economics, the diagnosis must not be rigid and permanent. Vital indicators could and will change throughout therapy. A rigid forecast resulting in an attempt to ensure the rigid stability of indicators is dangerous and fraught with irreparable economic losses.

To solve the issue of inflexible programs, this book presents the minimal uncertainty interval. This method is to open a logical path from the predicament of explaining its quantitatively precise indefinability of the indicators. The aim is to contribute to the flexible and realistic concept about possible dynamics of economic processes with interval forecasts and probabilistic evaluations of those events' outcomes. It is indicated that exiting the allowable intervals of regulatory indicators contributes to the emergence of economic diseases. This book tries to explore and systematize economic diseases, presents the factors that affect forecast efficiency, and makes the forecast satisfactory. Based on the systematization of the conducted research, this book formulates the ten principles of forecasting, which are necessary for forecasting the economic processes and decision-making under uncertainty.

About The Author

Dr. Ashot Tavadyan is member of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences, member of the International Information Academy of Canada, First Chairman of the Control Chamber of Armenia, Head of Center for Economic Research, Editor-in-Chief of Armenian Economic Journal, NAS RA, Head of Department of Mathematical Methods and Information Technologies in Economics and Business, Russian-Armenian (Slavonic) University (RAU)

Trusted for over 49 years

Family Owned Company

Secure Payment

All Major Credit Cards/Debit Cards/UPI & More Accepted

New & Authentic Products

India's Largest Distributor

Need Support?

Whatsapp Us

Related Category

business & economics > forecasting

Bestselling

View All

Atomic Habits (Lead Title)

Clear, James

₹585

₹899

(-35%)

₹585

• Author(s): Clear | James • Publisher: Penguin • Publisher Imprint: Penguin Random House • Subject: General Books

Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Partypooper (Book 20)

Jeff Kinney

₹455

₹699

(-35%)

₹455

• Author(s): Jeff Kinney • Publisher: Penguin Random House Children's UK • Publisher Imprint: Penguin Random House Children's UK • BISAC: Comics & Graphic Novels - Humorous

Ikigai

Hector Garcia

₹390

₹599

(-35%)

₹390

• Author(s): Hector Garcia • Publisher: Penguin • Publisher Imprint: Penguin Random House • Subject: General Books

The Courage To Be Disliked How To Free Yourself Change Your Life And Achieve Real Happiness Courage To Series

Ichiro Kishimi

₹358

₹550

(-35%)

₹358

• Author(s): Ichiro Kishimi • Publisher: GROVE ATLANTIC • Publisher Imprint: Allen & Unwin • BISAC: Personal Growth - SuccessIchiro Kishimi lives in Kyoto. He writes, lectures and teaches in psychiatric clinics as a certified counsellor and c...

View full details

12 Years: My Messed-up Love Story

Chetan Bhagat

₹260

₹399

(-35%)

₹260

• Author(s): Chetan Bhagat • Publisher: HarperCollins Publishers India • Publisher Imprint: HarperCollins Publishers India • BISAC: GeneralFrom India's top-selling writer Chetan Bhagat comes a powerful new love story that will make you laugh, cry...

View full details

The Mountain Is You: Transforming Self-Sabotage Into Self-Mastery

Brianna Wiest

₹260

₹399

(-35%)

₹260

• Author(s): Brianna Wiest • Publisher: Manjul Publishing • Publisher Imprint: Amaryllis • BISAC: Body Mind And SpiritThis is a book about self-sabotage. Why we do it, when we do it, and how to stop doing it—for good. Coexisting but conflicting n...

View full details

The Art of Spending Money: Simple Choices for a Richer Life

Morgan Housel

₹290

₹499

(-42%)

₹290

• Author(s): Morgan Housel • Publisher: Pan Macmillan • Publisher Imprint: Pan Macmillan • BISAC: Finance - Wealth ManagementA third book from the International bestselling author of The Psychology of Money and Same as Ever, lessons on harnessing...

View full details

Mother Mary Comes To Me

Arundhati Roy

₹585

₹899

(-35%)

₹585

• Author(s): Arundhati Roy• Publisher: PRH INDIA LOCAL PRINT• Publisher Imprint: Penguin Hamish Hamilton• BISAC: Literary FiguresArundhati Roy’s first work of memoir, this is a soaring account, both intimate and inspiring, of how the author became...

View full details

Truth without Apology: A Guide for Those Who Can Stand It

Acharya Prashant

₹260

₹399

(-35%)

₹260

• Author(s): Acharya Prashant • Publisher: HarperCollins Publishers India • Publisher Imprint: HarperCollins Publishers India • BISAC: GeneralIn a world where vagueness is mistaken for depth and obscurity passes for wisdom, Truth without Apology ...

View full details

Grandma's Bag of Stories

Sudha Murthy

₹179

₹275

(-35%)

₹179

• Author(s): Sudha Murthy • Publisher: India Puffin • Publisher Imprint: India Puffin • BISAC: Short StoriesWho can resist a good story, especially when it's being told by Grandma? From her bag emerges tales of kings and cheats, monkeys and mic...

View full details

Days at the Morisaki Bookshop

Satoshi Yagisawa

₹260

₹399

(-35%)

₹260

• Author(s): Satoshi Yagisawa • Publisher: Bonnier Books Ltd • Publisher Imprint: Bonnier Books Ltd

Deep Work: Rules For Focused Success In A Distracted World

Newport, Cal

₹260

₹399

(-35%)

₹260

• Author(s): Newport, Cal • Publisher: Little, Brown Book Group • Publisher Imprint: Piatkus

Can We Be Strangers Again?: A National Bestseller

Shrijeet Shandilya

₹195

₹299

(-35%)

₹195

• Author(s): Shrijeet Shandilya • Publisher: Ebury Press • Publisher Imprint: Ebury Press • BISAC: Romance - GeneralIn the electric haze of college life, three friends are bound by laughter, late-night talks and unspoken promises. But when two of...

View full details

The Secret of Secrets: (Robert Langdon Book 6)

Dan Brown

₹975

₹1,499

(-35%)

₹975

• Author(s): Dan Brown • Publisher: Transworld Publishers Ltd • Publisher Imprint: Transworld Publishers Ltd • BISAC: Thrillers - EspionageDan Brown is the bestselling author of Digital Fortress, Deception Point, Angels and Demons, The Da Vinci C...

View full details

Magic of the Lost Temple

Sudha Murty

₹179

₹275

(-35%)

₹179

• Author(s): Sudha Murty • Publisher: India Puffin • Publisher Imprint: India Puffin • BISAC: Action & Adventure - General

Rich Dad Poor Dad: What the Rich Teach Their Kids about Money That the Poor and Middle Class Do Not!

₹390

₹599

(-35%)

₹390

• Publisher: Penguin • Publisher Imprint: Penguin Random House • Subject: General Books • BISAC: Personal Finance - GeneralApril of 2022 marks a 25-year milestone for the personal finance classic Rich Dad Poor Dad that still ranks as the #1 Pers...

View full details

World’S Greatest Books For Personal Growth & Wealth (Set Of 4 Books) : Perfect Motivational

Dale Carnegie, Napoleon Hill

₹390

₹599

(-35%)

₹390

• Author(s): Dale Carnegie | Napoleon Hill • Publisher: Fingerprint • Publisher Imprint: Fingerprint • Subject: General Books

The Housemaid: An Addictive Psychological Thriller With Mind-Bending Twists

Freida Mcfadden

₹358

₹550

(-35%)

₹358

• Author(s): Freida Mcfadden • Publisher: Penguin Select Print • Publisher Imprint: Penguin Select Publishing"Multi-Million Copy Bestselling Series •Now Being Made Into a Major Motion Picture Starring Sydney Sweeney and Amanda Seyfried #1 New Yor...

View full details

101 Tales: The Great Panchatantra Collection

Wonder House Books

₹390

₹599

(-35%)

₹390

• Author(s): Wonder House Books • Publisher: Wonder House Books • Publisher Imprint: Wonder House Books • BISAC: Comics & Graphic Novels - Fairy Tales, Folklore, Legends & MTimeless Wisdom, Talking Animals & Life Lessons for Young Min...

View full details

Man's Search For Meaning

Viktor E. Frankl

₹260

₹399

(-35%)

₹260

• Author(s): Viktor E. Frankl • Publisher: Random House • Publisher Imprint: Random Hou • Subject: Medical, Nursing and Health Sciences

Bacchon KI Doctor's Desi Parenting Book: A Doctor-Mom's Guide to Milk, Myths, Motherhood and More

Madhavi Bharadwaj

₹260

₹399

(-35%)

₹260

• Author(s): Madhavi Bharadwaj • Publisher: PRH India • Publisher Imprint: Penguin Ebury Press • BISAC: Parenting - MotherhoodWelcome to the wild, messy, wonderful world of parenting--where the nights are long, the diapers are explosive, and unso...

View full details

The Outsider

Vir Das

₹455

₹699

(-35%)

₹455

• Author(s): Vir Das • Publisher: HarperCollins Publishers India • Publisher Imprint: HarperCollins Publishers India • BISAC: Entertainment & Performing ArtsComedian and actor Vir Das is beloved (by some, tolerated by others, blocked by a few...

View full details

The Very Hungry Caterpillar

Eric Carle

₹293

₹450

(-35%)

₹293

• Author(s): Eric Carle • Publisher: Penguin Books, Limited (UK) • Publisher Imprint: Penguin Books, Limited (UK) • BISAC: Animals - Butterflies, Moths & CaterpillarsEric Carle's The Very Hungry Caterpillar is a perennial favourite with child...

View full details

Too Good to Be True : A smart, funny will-they-won’t-they romance by mostlysane

Prajakta Koli

₹260

₹399

(-35%)

₹260

• Author(s): Prajakta Koli • Publisher: Harper Fiction India • Publisher Imprint: Harper Fiction India • BISAC: Romance - ContemporaryWinner of the Amazon India Popular Choice Debut Book 2025 Award. From one of India's most-loved creators comes s...

View full details

Uncertainty Bands: A Guide to Predicting and Regulating Economic Processes

Related Category

Bestselling

Atomic Habits (Lead Title)

Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Partypooper (Book 20)

Ikigai

The Courage To Be Disliked How To Free Yourself Change Your Life And Achieve Real Happiness Courage To Series

12 Years: My Messed-up Love Story

The Mountain Is You: Transforming Self-Sabotage Into Self-Mastery

The Art of Spending Money: Simple Choices for a Richer Life

Mother Mary Comes To Me

Truth without Apology: A Guide for Those Who Can Stand It

Grandma's Bag of Stories

Days at the Morisaki Bookshop

Deep Work: Rules For Focused Success In A Distracted World

Can We Be Strangers Again?: A National Bestseller

The Secret of Secrets: (Robert Langdon Book 6)

Magic of the Lost Temple

Rich Dad Poor Dad: What the Rich Teach Their Kids about Money That the Poor and Middle Class Do Not!

World’S Greatest Books For Personal Growth & Wealth (Set Of 4 Books) : Perfect Motivational

The Housemaid: An Addictive Psychological Thriller With Mind-Bending Twists

101 Tales: The Great Panchatantra Collection

Man's Search For Meaning

Bacchon KI Doctor's Desi Parenting Book: A Doctor-Mom's Guide to Milk, Myths, Motherhood and More

The Outsider

The Very Hungry Caterpillar

Too Good to Be True : A smart, funny will-they-won’t-they romance by mostlysane

Customer Reviews

Added to your cart:

Uncertainty Bands: A Guide to Predicting and Regulating Economic Processes

Related Category

Bestselling

Customer Reviews

Country

Country