Variabilità del segnale intrasaisonale dell'OMJ sul NEB con OLAM v3.3
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Gli studi sul clima e le relative previsioni rivestono un'importanza fondamentale per l'evoluzione delle conoscenze scientifiche e lo sviluppo sociale. Analisi osservazionali e numeriche indicano relazioni tra il segnale intrasaisonale dell'Oscillazione Madden-Julian (OMJ) - fattore cruciale nelle variazioni meteorologiche e climatiche in diverse regioni del globo terrestre - e le precipitazioni sul settore nord-orientale del Brasile. I dati relativi alla radiazione a onde lunghe (ROL) sono stati filtrati nella banda 20-70 giorni utilizzando il filtro Lanczos. I dati osservativi ROL relativi alla fine del 2002 hanno mostrato una variabilit� intrasaisonale nella regione dell'Oceano Indiano che ha influenzato il nord-est del Brasile all'inizio del 2003. I valori numerici ROL ottenuti con OLAM utilizzando la Parametrizzazione Radiativa di Chen indicano che alla fine del 2004 e all'inizio del 2005 l'OMJ ha esercitato una forte influenza sul nord-est del Brasile. Sono state applicate analisi statistiche per determinare la correlazione tra gli eventi estremi. I risultati presentati suggeriscono modelli atmosferici sullo Stato del Cear� associati a modelli di teleconnessione atmosferica su scala intrasaisonale.
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