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Zeitreihenanalyse des Klimawandels by N, Mani

Zeitreihenanalyse des Klimawandels

by Mani N , Rithika S , Sivakumaran P. K.
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Book cover type: Paperback
  • ISBN13: 9786209011993
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Subject: N/A
  • Publisher: Verlag Unser Wissen
  • Publisher Imprint: Verlag Unser Wissen
  • Publication Date:
  • Pages: 72
  • Original Price: GBP 38.19
  • Language: German
  • Edition: N/A
  • Item Weight: 109 grams
  • BISAC Subject(s): Probability & Statistics / General

Dieses Buch befasst sich mit der Bedeutung genauer Niederschlagsvorhersagen f�r die Bewirtschaftung von Wasserressourcen, die Landwirtschaft und die Katastrophenvorsorge. Es enth�lt eine vergleichende Analyse von zwei Vorhersagemodellen - Support Vector Regression (SVR) und Seasonal Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) - unter Verwendung historischer Niederschlagsdaten aus den Jahren 2008 bis 2021, um Trends f�r den Zeitraum 2022 bis 2026 vorherzusagen. Mithilfe von statistischen und Visualisierungstechniken wie Trendanalysen, gleitenden Durchschnitten, Boxplots, Heatmaps, Z-Scores und Dichteplots werden in der Studie Muster und Anomalien in den Niederschlagsdaten identifiziert. W�hrend beide Modelle eine gute Vorhersagef�higkeit aufweisen, zeigt SVR eine �berlegene Leistung, insbesondere bei der Erfassung komplexer, nicht-linearer Muster. Das Buch hebt die Vorteile der Integration von Methoden des maschinellen Lernens mit traditionellen statistischen Werkzeugen hervor, um die Niederschlagsvorhersage zu verbessern und datengest�tzte Entscheidungen in der Landwirtschaft, der Umweltplanung und der Klimaresilienz zu unterst�tzen.

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